HOOPSANALYST

NBA Draft 2008: Power Forwards

 

by Ed Weiland (6/26/08)

 

This is a very strong group. The strongest in the draft and it might rival the SFs of ’03 and ’07 as strongest group in any draft class I’ve seen. Beasley and Love are at the top. I really can’t decide who should go on top either. Love does have better numbers and improved during the season. Beasley had to carry an otherwise weak team. Both are terrific offensively and raise doubts defensively. If I were a GM, I’d be happy with either one, but if forced to choose I’d give Beasley the slightest edge. Beasley looks more able to slide to SF than Love would to center. Beasley seems to have more potential to dominate, while Love seems to have more potential to be dominated. But they’re very close and any team lucky enough to land either one should feel fortunate. There are several other PFs capable of making an impact.

 

The stats I look at for PFs are a 2 point FG pct. of at least .550, P40 of 20.0, R40 of 10.0 and SB40 of 3.0. As always, freshmen and sophs are given some benefit of the doubt on numbers that aren’t quite there.

 

Player

fgpct

2 pct

P40

R40

A40

S40

B40

TO40

A/TO

pps

SB40

Hendrix, Richard

0.598

0.604

22.72

12.92

2.04

1.64

2.52

2.20

0.93

1.48

4.16

Beasley, Michael

0.532

0.562

31.28

14.74

1.37

1.52

1.95

3.43

0.40

1.50

3.47

Love, Kevin

0.559

0.611

23.80

14.50

2.62

0.94

1.96

2.73

0.96

1.68

2.90

Speights, M

0.624

0.624

24.13

13.41

1.57

0.69

2.26

2.87

0.55

1.51

2.96

Dunston, Bryant

0.525

0.561

19.11

12.06

2.42

1.23

3.35

2.34

1.04

1.43

4.59

White, DJ

0.605

0.607

20.61

12.22

0.90

0.93

1.94

2.26

0.40

1.61

2.87

Dorsey, Joey

0.647

0.651

10.35

14.36

0.79

1.63

2.94

1.63

0.49

1.56

4.56

Hickson, JJ

0.591

0.593

20.79

11.89

1.41

1.00

2.13

3.77

0.37

1.66

3.13

Williams, Leon

0.614

0.613

21.92

13.14

1.66

1.90

0.93

3.23

0.51

1.85

2.83

Arthur, Darrell

0.543

0.555

20.42

10.01

1.32

0.80

2.12

3.00

0.44

1.29

2.92

Jackson, Darnell

0.626

0.633

18.23

10.89

1.75

1.26

0.77

2.08

0.84

1.64

2.04

Rhodes, Charles

0.562

0.563

21.61

9.72

1.16

0.64

1.69

2.97

0.39

1.41

2.33

Curtis, Dwayne

0.633

0.633

18.63

12.01

1.25

1.00

0.36

2.07

0.60

1.56

1.35

Randolph, A

0.464

0.483

19.40

10.56

1.53

1.41

2.81

3.69

0.41

1.23

4.22

 

Here are how these players stand up against prospects of the past. As I mentioned in other draft articles, I wouldn’t read too much into any of this. Just some interesting data.

 

NCAA Freshman PFs

2 pt. pct.

Points40

Reb40

SB40

A/TO

PPS

Kevin Love

.604

23.8

14.5

2.9

0.9

1.68

Michael Beasley

.562

31.3

14.7

3.5

0.4

1.50

All-star level

.580

19.6

12.5

3.7

0.5

1.45

JJ Hickson

.593

20.8

12.2

3.1

0.4

1.66

Rotation Regular

.526

18.2

11.1

3.3

0.5

1.37

Anthony Randolph

.483

19.4

10.6

4.2

0.4

1.23

Journeyman

.498

18.8

10.5

2.8

0.4

1.29

Never made it

.532

15.3

9.8

2.9

0.6

1.37

  

NCAA Sophomore PFs

2 pt. pct.

Points40

Reb40

SB40

A/TO

PPS

All-star level

.568

20.8

12.7

4.4

0.6

1.38

Marreese Speights

.624

24.1

13.4

3.0

0.6

1.51

Rotation Regular

.552

19.8

11.2

3.3

0.5

1.46

Darrell Arthur

.555

20.4

10.0

2.9

0.4

1.29

Journeyman

.526

18.5

10.1

2.5

0.5

1.37

Never made it

.548

17.1

9.9

2.7

0.6

1.41

  

NCAA Junior PFs

2 pt.pct.

Points40

Reb40

SB40

A/TO

PPS

All-star level

.599

23.2

12.6

4.3

0.6

1.53

Richard Hendrix

.604

22.7

12.9

4.2

0.9

1.48

Rotation Regular

.558

21.2

11.2

3.4

0.7

1.45

Journeyman

.540

19.9

10.5

2.9

0.6

1.42

Never made it

.543

18.1

10.4

2.6

0.7

1.42

  

NCAA Senior PFs

2 pt. pct.

Points40

Reb40

SB40

A/TO

PPS

All-star level

.563

23.2

12.6

4.3

0.6

1.53

Joey Dorsey

.651

10.4

14.4

4.6

0.5

1.56

Rotation Regular

.542

20.5

11.2

3.2

0.7

1.45

Bryant Dunston

.561

19.1

12.1

4.6

1.0

1.43

DJ White

.607

20.6

12.2

2.9

0.4

1.61

Journeyman

.529

20.5

10.5

2.9

0.6

1.41

Darnell Jackson

.633

18.2

10.9

2.0

0.8

1.64

Dwayne Curtis

.633

18.6

12.0

1.4

0.6

1.56

Charles Rhodes

.563

21.6

9.7

2.3

0.4

1.41

Never made it

.528