HOOPSANALYST
NBA Draft 2008: Power Forwards
by Ed Weiland (6/26/08)
This is a very strong group. The strongest in the draft and it might rival the SFs of ’03 and ’07 as strongest group in any draft class I’ve seen. Beasley and Love are at the top. I really can’t decide who should go on top either. Love does have better numbers and improved during the season. Beasley had to carry an otherwise weak team. Both are terrific offensively and raise doubts defensively. If I were a GM, I’d be happy with either one, but if forced to choose I’d give Beasley the slightest edge. Beasley looks more able to slide to SF than Love would to center. Beasley seems to have more potential to dominate, while Love seems to have more potential to be dominated. But they’re very close and any team lucky enough to land either one should feel fortunate. There are several other PFs capable of making an impact.
The stats I look at for PFs are a 2 point FG pct. of at least .550, P40 of 20.0, R40 of 10.0 and SB40 of 3.0. As always, freshmen and sophs are given some benefit of the doubt on numbers that aren’t quite there.
|
Player |
fgpct |
2 pct |
P40 |
R40 |
A40 |
S40 |
B40 |
TO40 |
A/TO |
pps |
SB40 |
|
Hendrix, Richard |
0.598 |
0.604 |
22.72 |
12.92 |
2.04 |
1.64 |
2.52 |
2.20 |
0.93 |
1.48 |
4.16 |
|
Beasley, Michael |
0.532 |
0.562 |
31.28 |
14.74 |
1.37 |
1.52 |
1.95 |
3.43 |
0.40 |
1.50 |
3.47 |
|
Love, Kevin |
0.559 |
0.611 |
23.80 |
14.50 |
2.62 |
0.94 |
1.96 |
2.73 |
0.96 |
1.68 |
2.90 |
|
Speights, M |
0.624 |
0.624 |
24.13 |
13.41 |
1.57 |
0.69 |
2.26 |
2.87 |
0.55 |
1.51 |
2.96 |
|
Dunston, Bryant |
0.525 |
0.561 |
19.11 |
12.06 |
2.42 |
1.23 |
3.35 |
2.34 |
1.04 |
1.43 |
4.59 |
|
White, DJ |
0.605 |
0.607 |
20.61 |
12.22 |
0.90 |
0.93 |
1.94 |
2.26 |
0.40 |
1.61 |
2.87 |
|
Dorsey, Joey |
0.647 |
0.651 |
10.35 |
14.36 |
0.79 |
1.63 |
2.94 |
1.63 |
0.49 |
1.56 |
4.56 |
|
Hickson, JJ |
0.591 |
0.593 |
20.79 |
11.89 |
1.41 |
1.00 |
2.13 |
3.77 |
0.37 |
1.66 |
3.13 |
|
Williams, Leon |
0.614 |
0.613 |
21.92 |
13.14 |
1.66 |
1.90 |
0.93 |
3.23 |
0.51 |
1.85 |
2.83 |
|
Arthur, Darrell |
0.543 |
0.555 |
20.42 |
10.01 |
1.32 |
0.80 |
2.12 |
3.00 |
0.44 |
1.29 |
2.92 |
|
Jackson, Darnell |
0.626 |
0.633 |
18.23 |
10.89 |
1.75 |
1.26 |
0.77 |
2.08 |
0.84 |
1.64 |
2.04 |
|
Rhodes, Charles |
0.562 |
0.563 |
21.61 |
9.72 |
1.16 |
0.64 |
1.69 |
2.97 |
0.39 |
1.41 |
2.33 |
|
Curtis, Dwayne |
0.633 |
0.633 |
18.63 |
12.01 |
1.25 |
1.00 |
0.36 |
2.07 |
0.60 |
1.56 |
1.35 |
|
Randolph, A |
0.464 |
0.483 |
19.40 |
10.56 |
1.53 |
1.41 |
2.81 |
3.69 |
0.41 |
1.23 |
4.22 |
Here are how these players stand up against prospects of the past. As I mentioned in other draft articles, I wouldn’t read too much into any of this. Just some interesting data.
|
NCAA Freshman PFs |
2 pt. pct. |
Points40 |
Reb40 |
SB40 |
A/TO |
PPS |
|
Kevin Love |
.604 |
23.8 |
14.5 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
1.68 |
|
Michael Beasley |
.562 |
31.3 |
14.7 |
3.5 |
0.4 |
1.50 |
|
All-star level |
.580 |
19.6 |
12.5 |
3.7 |
0.5 |
1.45 |
|
JJ Hickson |
.593 |
20.8 |
12.2 |
3.1 |
0.4 |
1.66 |
|
Rotation Regular |
.526 |
18.2 |
11.1 |
3.3 |
0.5 |
1.37 |
|
Anthony Randolph |
.483 |
19.4 |
10.6 |
4.2 |
0.4 |
1.23 |
|
Journeyman |
.498 |
18.8 |
10.5 |
2.8 |
0.4 |
1.29 |
|
Never made it |
.532 |
15.3 |
9.8 |
2.9 |
0.6 |
1.37 |
|
NCAA Sophomore PFs |
2 pt. pct. |
Points40 |
Reb40 |
SB40 |
A/TO |
PPS |
|
All-star level |
.568 |
20.8 |
12.7 |
4.4 |
0.6 |
1.38 |
|
Marreese Speights |
.624 |
24.1 |
13.4 |
3.0 |
0.6 |
1.51 |
|
Rotation Regular |
.552 |
19.8 |
11.2 |
3.3 |
0.5 |
1.46 |
|
Darrell Arthur |
.555 |
20.4 |
10.0 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
1.29 |
|
Journeyman |
.526 |
18.5 |
10.1 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
1.37 |
|
Never made it |
.548 |
17.1 |
9.9 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
1.41 |
|
NCAA Junior PFs |
2 pt.pct. |
Points40 |
Reb40 |
SB40 |
A/TO |
PPS |
|
All-star level |
.599 |
23.2 |
12.6 |
4.3 |
0.6 |
1.53 |
|
Richard Hendrix |
.604 |
22.7 |
12.9 |
4.2 |
0.9 |
1.48 |
|
Rotation Regular |
.558 |
21.2 |
11.2 |
3.4 |
0.7 |
1.45 |
|
Journeyman |
.540 |
19.9 |
10.5 |
2.9 |
0.6 |
1.42 |
|
Never made it |
.543 |
18.1 |
10.4 |
2.6 |
0.7 |
1.42 |
|
NCAA Senior PFs |
2 pt. pct. |
Points40 |
Reb40 |
SB40 |
A/TO |
PPS |
|
All-star level |
.563 |
23.2 |
12.6 |
4.3 |
0.6 |
1.53 |
|
Joey Dorsey |
.651 |
10.4 |
14.4 |
4.6 |
0.5 |
1.56 |
|
Rotation Regular |
.542 |
20.5 |
11.2 |
3.2 |
0.7 |
1.45 |
|
Bryant Dunston |
.561 |
19.1 |
12.1 |
4.6 |
1.0 |
1.43 |
|
DJ White |
.607 |
20.6 |
12.2 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
1.61 |
|
Journeyman |
.529 |
20.5 |
10.5 |
2.9 |
0.6 |
1.41 |
|
Darnell Jackson |
.633 |
18.2 |
10.9 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
1.64 |
|
Dwayne Curtis |
.633 |
18.6 |
12.0 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
1.56 |
|
Charles Rhodes |
.563 |
21.6 |
9.7 |
2.3 |
0.4 |
1.41 |
|
Never made it |
.528 |