2016 NBA Draft: The PGs

I’m not crazy about this class of PGs. Dunn looks like a good one, but after that the young guys aren’t very impressive and the older players come with the usual old guy baggage.

Point Guards 2PP 3PP P40 A40 S40 A/TO RSB40
Kris Dunn 477 372 19.5 7.4 3.0 1.8 10.0
Denzel Valentine 481 444 24.0 9.7 1.3 2.8 11.0
Gary Payton II 520 314 18.8 5.9 3.0 2.2 12.8
Wade Baldwin 437 406 18.6 6.9 1.6 1.9 7.3
Alex Hamilton 571 297 21.3 6.7 2.2 2.0 8.8
Fred VanVleet 396 381 17.9 8.1 2.6 3.2 7.4
Demetrius Jackson 525 331 18.5 5.5 1.4 2.2 5.8
Tyler Ulis 486 344 18.1 7.6 1.6 3.6 4.9
Dejounte Murray 452 288 16.6 4.6 1.9 1.4 8.3
Kyle Collinsworth 484 283 17.1 8.3 2.2 2.2 12.0
AJ English 519 370 24.2 6.6 1.7 1.7 7.6
Kahlil Felder 483 354 24.5 9.4 2.1 2.7 6.5
Yogi Ferrell 488 420 20.0 6.4 1.3 2.2 5.7
Marcus Paige 459 356 15.5 4.6 1.4 3.1 5.1

Players are listed in order of how I would draft them all other things being equal.

Kris Dunn, Providence

Denzel Valentine, Michigan State

Gary Payton II, Oregon State

Wade Baldwin, Vanderbilt: Baldwin is the only young PG I’m even a little high on. He does everything well, except he’s very inefficient on offense. He has 2 seasons below a .440 2PP and that’s a big red flag. For now I’ll buy into his upside, strong passing and defense to call him a legit first rounder, though closer to the bubble than the lottery.

Alex Hamilton, Louisiana Tech: I like this guy a lot. Two of his past three seasons he has looked like an excellent PG prospect, with the junior year being something of a downer. He scores often and efficiently. He plays good defense. He’s an excellent distributor. The only glitch is he’s never topped .300 on 3-pointers in his 4-year career. Hamilton seems unlikely to be drafted. The team that ends up with him will get a pretty good player.

Fred VanVleet, Wichita State: VanVleet is a great passer and a solid defender. That and a decent outside shot makes him potentially a great fit on an NBA bench. He has struggled with efficiency inside the arc, only topping .500 once in 4 seasons. That last red flag knocks him into round 2 as a prospect.

Demetrius Jackson, Notre Dame: Jackson’s defensive numbers are low, but he does enough things well that I could see him becoming a decent reserve.

Tyler Ulis, Kentucky: I don’t see much upside with Ulis. He’s a good passer, but other than that his numbers are weak. There has been a recent trend of Kentucky guards outperforming their numbers so that might be something to watch.

Dejounte Murray, Washington: He’s tall, long and raw. He’s nowhere near being ready for the NBA, but he did show enough that he’s very intriguing as a prospect. He’s a few years away and we never know about such players, but he could payoff big for some team willing to take a chance.

Kyle Collinsworth, BYU: Collinsworth has been quite the stat monster during his career. Any PG prospect who tops 8.0 in both A40 and RSB40 as Collinsworth did this past year should be drafted. Such players have a very good history of NBA success. That being out there, Collinsworth comes with plenty of negatives. He has never been a good scorer either in frequency or efficiency. He’ll be 25 by the time the 2017 NBA season starts, so his upside is nil. Because he can distribute at an elite level and posted strong defensive numbers I feel he is well worth the investment of a second round draft pick.

AJ English, Iona: A 5th-year senior who checked in with his first real good prospect season.

Kal Felder, Oakland: Felder is a decent passer, but his scoring has been inefficient and the defense is substandard. Worth a look, but a long shot.

Yogi Ferrell, Indiana: Ferrell had his best year this past year as a senior and still came up a tad short of where a prospect should be. His RSB40 and 2PP have always been too low by prospect standards. He can drill the 3-pointer pretty effectively and he runs the point well enough that landing a gig on a bench is a possibility.

Marcus Paige, North Carolina: Similar to Ferrell, as both are senior PGs who have played a lot of minutes for power programs, but come up short as prospects.

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