Expansion Drafts Revisited

With Charlotte Bobcat’s expansion draft coming in the near future, it’s a fair to pose the question: what is the expansion draft worth in the larger scheme of things?  Well, it does not really seem to be too much.  The expansion team is seeking warm bodies and/or unproven players with theoretical upside.  In a perfect world, the expansion drafter would poach a bunch of talented young guys who haven’t really gotten the chance to play.  In reality, most guys taken in the expansion draft are quickly cast aside.  This is all an exercise in amassing enough players on its roster to get the franchise going for its inaugural beating.  Of course, in the new world with the expanding overseas talent pool, we may see the Bobcats take chances on foreign players and other creative things like that.

The Bobcats are the first expansion team to enter the NBA without a twin since the Dallas Mavericks in 1980.  In total, the NBA has had nine prior expansions (not including the 1976 absorption of four ABA teams):

1966    Chicago Bulls

1967    San Diego Rockets, Seattle SuperSonics

1968    Milwaukee Bucks, Phoenix Suns

1970    Buffalo Braves, Cleveland Cavaliers, Portland Trailblazers

1974    New Orleans Jazz

1976    NBA absorbs New Jersey Nets, Indiana Pacers, San Antonio Spurs, Denver Nuggets

1980    Dallas Mavericks

1988    Miami Heat, Charlotte Hornets

1989    Minnesota Timberwolves, Orlando Magic

1995    Toronto Raptors, Vancouver Grizzlies

I thought it would be instructive to look at the past three expansion drafts (1) the 1988 Draft for Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets, (2) the 1989 Draft for Orlando Magic and Minnesota Timberwolves, and (3) the 1995 draft for Toronto Raptors and Vancouver Grizzlies to see what we can learn that might help the Bobcats this week.  Without further ado, let’s look at the three most recent drafts:

1988 Expansion Draft

This was the first major NBA expansion since 1970 (ABA excluded) and no one was really sure how it would turn out.  The Heat were apparently going the strict youth route while the Hornets were a bit more quizzical.  They wore pleated gym shorts and didn’t really have a stated plan.  Still, it seems that in retrospect the Hornets did a little better with this draft.

MIAMI
1. Arvid Kramer, Dallas; Who?  Kramer was a 6’9 center out of Augustana college in 1979.  He played 8 games with the Nuggets in 1979-80 before being selected by the Mavs in the 1980 expansion draft.  He never played another NBA because he apparently went over to Germany and starred there.  He is still working with a European team to this day.  The question is why the Heat drafted him with their pick.  I see no apparent reason for this and he didn’t seem to even make the team.  I guess the Heat either had a vision that is not apparent now or a nice sense of humor about past expansion picks.  The answer is likely the former but still it obviously didn’t work out. 

3. Billy Thompson, L.A. Lakers; Thompson was a little easier to understand.  He was a “jump out the gym” young Laker who couldn’t do much else and he had James Worthy in front of him.  Kind of like Gerald Wallace today.  Thompson had a couple of solid 10 ppg, 7 rpg seasons before fading out to Europe by 1992.  He had a good career abroad in Israel and Turkey.

5. Fred Roberts, Boston; The ultimate roster filler/mediocre forward was taken from the Celts.  He was quickly dealt to Milwaukee where he was part of the the late 1980s-early 1990s white boy front line (Robert, Frank Brickowski, Danny Schayes, Brad Lohaus, Larry Krystkowiak).  Roberts was actually the perfect player for an expansion team.  He hung around until 1996-97 and even had a couple of 10 ppg seasons after 1988.

7. Scott Hastings, Atlanta; A funny guy but not a good player.  Let go by the Hawks because the position of designated fouler was already taken by Jon Koncak, Hastings came to the Heat.  Reportedly after his first Heat practice, Hastings called his old coach Mike Fratello and said “I’m worried.  I’m the best guy here!”  Hastings wasn’t good on the Heat but he did score his career high for them, a whopping 5.1 ppg.

9. Jon Sundvold, San Antonio; Though gun shy by today’s standards, Sundvold was known as a three-point specialist.  He made good on the Heat where he led the NBA in 3-point accuracy at .522% (he shot 48 for 92 for the season).  Sundvold spent the rest of his career with the Heat (until 1991-92) and played as John Paxson/Steve Kerr-type.

11. Kevin Williams, Seattle; Vet forward out of St. John’s was cut by Miami and played only one more year in the NBA.

13. Hansi Gnad, Philadelphia; Like Kramer, he was apparently NBA property who never actually played in the NBA.  He starred in Germany and is currently a coach for Leverusken.

15. Darnell Valentine, L.A. Clippers; Mediocre vet point guard was immediately dealt over Cleveland where he continued to be a useful backup point guard.

17. Dwayne Washington, New Jersey; Do you remember him?  This is “Pearl” Washington of Syracuse fame.  He washed out in Jersey and played one similar season for the inaugural Heat before falling out of the NBA.

19. Andre Turner, Houston; Fringe point guard out of Memphis was traded to Milwaukee before the season started. 

21. Conner Henry, Sacramento;  Young player out of Houston, after the expansion draft he was let go and never again played in the NBA.

23. John Stroeder, Milwaukee; CBA player who was drafted as an afterthought.  He didn’t really play in the NBA again after the expansion draft.
 

CHARLOTTE
2. Dell Curry, Cleveland; The Hornets really hit it big with Del.  He spent 10 years as Mr. Hornet, a lethal shooter off the bench.  A great pick who turned out shall we say slightly better than Arvid Kramer.

4. Dave Hoppen, Golden State; Big bruiser out of Nebraska.  After one year with the Warriors, Hoppen was taken by Charlotte and put up 6.5 ppg and 5.0 rpg.  He faded after that and bounced around as roster filler.  He is best remembered for being criticized by Charles Barkley for being the token white guy on Philly’s bench.

6. Tyrone Bogues, Washington; Another very good pick.  Muggsy was considered a circus oddity with Washington but he had nine very good years in Carolina.  The Hornets were constantly trying to replace Bogues but his stats were actually very impressive. 

8. Mike Brown, Chicago; Big man was immediately traded for Kelly Tripucka, who filled the role of leading scorer on the ugly early Charlotte teams.

10. Rickey Green, Utah; 34-year old vet point backed up Muggsy for 1988-89 before moving on.  He had lost his starting job in Utah to some kid named Stockton.  An interesting side note on Green is that two years later, in 1990-91, Green stepped into a starting role to replace an injured Johnny Dawkins and put up decent numbers (10 ppg, 5.2 apg) at age 36. 

12. Michael Holton, Portland; A decent young guard out of UCLA, Holton put up 8.3 ppg and 6.3 apg in 1988-89.  Surprisingly, Holton only lasted 16 more NBA games after that season.

14. Michael Brooks, Denver; Hornets cut him in before the season, didn’t play in the NBA again.

16. Bernard Thompson, Phoenix; Sent over to Houston before the season where he sat the bench before falling out of the NBA.

18. Ralph Lewis, Detroit; Bench player for the Bad Boys as a rookie in 1987-88.  Played one year with Charlotte and missed the Pistons first Bad Boy championship.  Not to worry, Lewis re-signed with the Pistons for the 1989-90 championship, after which he never again played in the NBA.

20. Clinton Wheeler, Indiana; Never played with Charlotte, he was sent over to Portland as a 12th man.

22. Sedric Toney, New York; Also never played with Charlotte but was actually able to stick in the NBA for a few years as a third point guard.

Everyone Loved Muggsy Bogues

Unlike the Heat or even the Hornets, the next wave of expansioneers were mainly concerned with finding instant respectability.  There were few young players with upside.  Just mostly vets who could fill a role for a year two.  As a result, both teams struggled for a while before they hit lottery gold in the 1990s.

1989 Expansion Draft

ORLANDO
1. Sidney Green, New York; Veteran bench power forward for the Knicks was not the type of guy a young team needs but he tried.  He put up on year of 10 ppg and 8 rpg before moving back to the bench role for the Spurs.

3. Reggie Theus, Atlanta; Very similar to the Tripucka-Hornet pick.  An aging no-defense player with a bad perm who can score.  Both were brought in to generate a modicum of excitement for a team destined to be bad.  Theus was actually a better player than Tripucka and a better player than people gave him credit for.  He put up 19 ppg and 5.4 apg for the Magic and was almost as good for the Nets they year after, his final in the NBA.  Probably could’ve played longer if he had wanted to.

5. Terry Catledge, Washington; Cadillac was the first “star” for the Magic.  He scored 19.4 ppg and 7.2 rpg his first year in Orlando and around 15 ppg for another two years.  He quickly disappeared when Shaq came to town. 

7. Sam Vincent, Chicago; Vincent was one of the few young upside players taken by the Magic.  Drafted off of the Bulls roster because it was clear a true point guard couldn’t mesh with Jordan.  Vincent was decent on Magic before jumping over to Europe in 1992.

9. Otis Smith, Golden State; Smith was one of those “little warrior” types,  A 6’5 forward who liked to bang.  He was a useful bench player for Oralndo gor three years, maxing out at 13.9 ppg and 5.2 rpg.  Like Catledge, he was considered obsolete after Shaq’s arrival.

11. Scott Skiles, Indiana; For some reason, between Vincent and Skiles, the Magic did well in drafting point guards.  Skiles was a very good player (though he aged very poorly as he was bounced from the NBA by age 31).  He scored 17.2 ppg and 8.4 apg once he got the starting job.  In addition, Skiles set the NBA record for assists in a game with Orlando (30) against the Nuggets in 1990-91.

13. Jerry Reynolds, Seattle; Mediocre shooter, nicknamed “Ice,” who put up 12 ppg over three seasons in Orlando.

15. Mark Acres, Boston; Backed up Greg Kite at center for three years.

17. Morlon Wiley, Dallas; Played as third point behind Skiles and Vincent.  Journeyman for miserable Dallas teams of the early 1990s after leaving Orlando.

19. Jim Farmer, Utah; Sent over to Seattle before the start of the Magic’s first year.

21. Keith Lee, New Jersey; This Lee was the big bust draft pick out of Memphis who was traded for Charles Oakley.  His knees were already shot by 1989 and he didn’t even make the Magic roster.

23. Frank Johnson, Houston; Another vet point guard.  He was decent previously in Washington but couldn’t make the Magic roster.  He actually was out of the NBA for two years after this draft before Phoenix gave him a shot for the 1992-93 season. 

MINNESOTA
2. Rick Mahorn, Detroit; I can remember the images.  The Pistons had just won the championships and Mahorn just found out that he had been drafted form the Champs to the chump Wolves.  Mahorn was 31 and wanted no part of an ugly rebuilding scenario.  He refused to report and was traded over to Philly where he and Barkley put together a mediocre but highly entertaining team.

4. Tyrone Corbin, Phoenix; The vet played quite well as a hybrid forward in his two years in Minny.  The second year he put up a nice 18 ppg and 7.2 rpg, before the he was traded for Thurl Bailey.  Corbin went on to a have nice career as a forward off the bench in Utah, Atlanta, and a bunch of other places.

6. Steve Johnson, Portland; I always like Johnson on Portland.  He was a good percentage scorer (.572 for his career) and a good border.  Portland didn’t need him anymore with their emerging young talent, so Minny grabbed him.  But Johnson was pretty much done and he was sent out to Seattle where his career faded quickly.

8. Brad Lohaus, Sacramento; Like Fred Roberts before him, Lohaus was dealt from an expansion team to Milwaukee to make their all-Caucasian front line.

10. David Rivers, L.A. Lakers; Rivers was a great college point at Notre Dame.  He got little burn behind Magic Johnson and was exposed in the expansion draft.  Minny didn’t end up needing him because they drafted Pooh Richardson, so the team sent him to the Clipps.  Rivers didn’t stick on the Clipps either.  He ended up having a good and long career in Europe.

12. Mark Davis, Milwaukee; After being a rookie on Milwuakke, Davis didn’t make the T’Wolves.

14. Scott Roth, San Antonio; Decent shooting forward spent a year on the bench with Minny before falling out of the NBA.

16. Shelton Jones, Philadelphia; Like Mark Davis, a rookie who couldn’t make it with the T’Wolves for the second year.

18. Eric White, L.A. Clippers; Ditto.

20. Maurice Martin, Denver; Ditto.

22. Gunther Behnke, Cleveland; A German center who never played in the NBA. 

The 1995 expansion draft had two distinct figures, mad scientist Isiah Thomas of Toronto and Stu Jackson of the Grizz, who didn’t even qualify for his mad scientist license.  Just like now with Knicks, Thomas was always willing to try any venue to find talent, high school (Tracy McGrady), abroad (Andres Guibert), college (Damon Stoudamire), and the state pen (Alvin Robertson).  The Grizz were less focused, as they drafted an alarming number of older retreads. 

1995 Expansion Draft

TORONTO
1. B.J. Armstrong, Chicago; Armstrong was only one year removed from an All Star appearance (albeit undeserving).  The story goes that the Bulls couldn’t trade Armstrong because Jerry Krause was so difficult to deal with they couldn’t get fair value.  As such, Thomas snapped up B.J. and immediately flipped him to the Warriors for youngster Carlos Rogers.  Rogers never turned out to be that good but it was the type of trade with upside that a forward looking GM would make.

3. Tony Massenburg, L.A. Clippers; Mr. Journeyman, he was and is useful as a banger.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see him in Charlotte this year.

5. Andres Guibert, Minnesota; Guibert was a Cuban defector, who went to the Wolves for 1993-94 and 1994-95.  He was cut from the Raptors and is playing in Europe.

7. Keith Jennings, Golden State; Mr. Jennings, the 5’7 shooter from Golden State, was one of my favorite college players at East Tennessee State.  When Thomas drafted Damon Stoudamire, Jennings decided to bolt to Europe for more playing time.

9. Dontonio Wingfield, Seattle; He came out of Cincinnati after a promising freshman and struggled with Seattle.  The Raptors cut him after the draft and he went to the Blazers, where he was one of the original malcontents.  Injuries and immaturity bounced him out of the NBA by 1998.

11. Doug Smith, Dallas; A great power forward for Missouri was a bust for the Mavs.  The Raptors sent him to Boston where he played 17 more games before being sent to Europe to play.

13. Jerome Kersey, Portland; The strong Portland forward was starting to wind down when Toronto drafted him.  He was traded with Armstrong to Golden State.  From there Kersey spent another six years as a useful bench player.

15. Zan Tabak, Houston; Croatian big man was a mediocre center for Toronto.  He spent three years there as a sometimes big man.  Not very good but serviceable.  He went back to Europe after 2001.

17. Willie Anderson, San Antonio; A very good scorer for the Spurs in the late 1980s.  Leg injuries had sapped Anderson of most of his ability by 1995 but he actually was able to average double figures for Toronto before they traded him for Doug Christie in a very good trade.

19. Ed Pinckney, Milwaukee; Like Anderson, Pinckney was also near the end at that point.  He played some center but was traded over to Philly mid-way through 1995-96.

21. Acie Earl, Boston; Earl was a bust center out of Iowa who played two years in Toronto.  He wasn’t very good but oddly put up 40 points in a game for Toronto. 

23. B.J. Tyler, Philadelphia; Small slashing T.J. Ford-type guard.  According to “Drive,” by Chris Young,: “[Tyler] would suffer a career-ending injury before he had ever played a game, falling asleep with an ice pack on his leg and suffering ‘nerve damage.'”

25. John Salley, Miami; Another aging big guy was let go to the Bulls where he was able to pick up a ring sitting the bench on a 72-win Bull team.

27. Oliver Miller, Detroit; The troubled man.  He had a nice first year in Toronto (12.9 ppg, 7.4 rpg) but then put on much too much weight and struggled.  He had been out of the NBA for three year before the T’Wolves gave him a chance in 2003-04.

VANCOUVER
2. Greg Anthony, New York; 
After being on the fringe of a starting job for years in New York, Anthony was finally let go by the Knicks in the expansion draft (they felt that Charlie Ward was better).  In the Grizz’ first year, Anthony enjoyed by far his best season (14.0 ppg, 6.9 apg).  Anthony second year in Vancouver, 1996-97, was not nearly as successful and he was let go thereafter.  Anthony spent five more years as a useful backup before retiring prematurely after 2001-02, to be an analyst for ESPN.  

4. Rodney Dent, Orlando; Dent was an odd choice.  He was a decent player for Rick Pitino and Kentucky.  He spent his entire rookie year, 1994-95, on the injured list because of a knee injury he suffered at Kentucky.  The Grizz cut Dent and he never played in the NBA. 

6. Antonio Harvey, L.A. Lakers; Quasiuseful backup forward in the Jelani McCoy mold.  He was let go to the Clipps shortly after the expansion draft.  Harvey has been in and out of the NBA ever since.

8. Reggie Slater, Denver; Led the NCAA in rebounding in college, Slater was only 6’7 but he could bang.  The Grizz let Slater return back to Denver before the start of the season.  Like Harvey, he has bounced around the NBA for cameos and is occasionally useful.

10. Trevor Ruffin, Phoenix; I always liked this chucker out of Hawaii.  Ruffin played like Eddie House, he just shot the ball every time he touched it, and he even made a few.  The Grizz cut him before the season and he signed with Philly and was decent (12.8 ppg and 4.4 apg in 25 mpg).  After the season, Ruffin bolted to Europe where he has been a hired gun ever since.

12. Derrick Phelps, Sacramento; UNC guard played only three games with Sacramento in 1994-95 (his rookie year).   The Grizz drafted him and immediately cut him for no apparent reason.  He never played in the NBA again.

14. Larry Stewart, Washington; Hustling but unskilled forward made a name for himself on the Bullets as a rookie back in 1991-92 (10.4 ppg, 5.9)  By 1994-95, Stewart was a fringe guy who was oft injured and barely playing.  The Grizz cut him almost immediately and Stewart was out of the NBA for the 1995-96 season.

16. Kenny Gattison, Charlotte; Gattison’s career came full circle.  As a younger player, Gattison played center for the early Hornets’ teams.  By 1994-95, the Hornets had turned into a real team that didn’t need an aging, undersized center.  But Gatt was needed to play his familiar role with the Grizz at center.  He played okay too (9.2 ppg, 4.6 rpg) before back injuries forced him into to retirement midway through the season.

18. Byron Scott, Indiana; This was an interesting story.  By 1995, Scott was a solid bench player who was looking for a fun winning situation to wind down his career.  Scott thought he had found that with the emerging Pacers (a young Reggie Miller and Rik Smits).  Indeed, Scott had average about 10 ppg in about 18 mpg for Indiana in 1993-94 and 1994-95.  Still, the Pacers didn’t protect him because they had a deep team and they though the Grizz wouldn’t waste their time drafting an aging 34-year old guard.  Wrong.  The Grizz, in their infinite wisdom, took him–disappointing Scott and the Pacers.  Scott spent one year in Vancouver scoring 10 ppg (again) and being miserable.  He then went to the Lakers in 1996-97 to mentor a young rookie named Kobe Bryant for Byron’s final year.

20. Gerald Wilkins, Cleveland; Like Scott, Gerald was aging and not really useful for a expansion franchise.  In addition, Wilkins was coming off of a torn Achilles that would keep out for much of the 1995-96 season.  The Grizz apparently drafted Gerald to take an expiring contract and not for talent.  Gerald played only 28 games for the Grizz before playing a few more years with the Orlando Magic.

22. Benoit Benjamin, New Jersey; The original underachiever, the Nets practically begged the Grizz to take him.  Benjamin’s number in Jersey weren’t actually as bad as you might think but his aura had clearly worn out his welcome.  The Grizz planned to use him as starting center and nurse along rookie draft pick Bryant Reeves.  But only a few weeks into the 1995-96 season, the Grizz decided that Reeves could play so they traded Benjamin over to Milwaukee for the immortal Eric Mobley.

24. Doug Edwards, Atlanta; A mediocre small forward out of Florida State sat the Hawks’ bench for two years before the Grizz took him.  He played only 31 games for the Grizz before being cut out of the NBA.

26. Theodore Edwards, Utah; He’s not “Theodore,” to me, he’s Blue Edwards–the decent scoring guard for Utah and Milwaukee.  Blue did the same role for the Grizz (12.7 ppg) for three years before going to Europe.  Edwards is currently retired.  (An interesting aside, Blue Edwards is now known for being at the center of one of Canada’s leading child custody cases.  Apparently, Edwards had had a child out of wedlock with a woman in Vancouver.  Edwards and the woman battled for custody of the woman and Edward’s wife also made a claim for custody of the child, despite having no biological tie him.  The case went all the way to Canada’s Supreme Court before being resolved). 
 

Conclusion

It’s clear from a review of the above drafts that expansion drafts do not yield much impact.  Maybe four or five players from the draft end up even playing with the team.  And of the guys who end up playing with the expansion team, there is little chance of finding any sort of All Star.  It does seem, however, that the best strategy is to go with the young players with some track record of ability.  The best picks in these drafts (Dell Curry, Muggsy Bogues, Tyrone Corbin, Scott Skiles) were guys who weren’t starting on good teams.  Obviously, there are only a limited amount of this type of player but it should be noted that pretty much every young unproven player who was drafted in an expansion draft, made no impact for expansion teams. 

GM Report: Elgin Baylor

Overview

 

In April 1986, the Clippers were completing their second season in Los Angeles.  They were 32-50 and going nowhere.  Across town, the Lakers were dominating the headlines.  So, it was natural that the Clippers would try to bask in the Lakers’ reflected glory by tapping one of the Laker greats of the past.  In this case, Donald Sterling decided that Elgin Baylor as GM of the Clippers.  Baylor has sat in that post ever since.  Of course, not much has changed in Clipper Land.  The Clipps are still struggling as a franchise and they still are dwarfed by the Lakers.  Is Baylor to blame?  Well not really.  Technically Elgin Baylor is the GM of the Clippers.  But we all know that evaluating the Clippers’ personnel moves does not lie solely with Baylor.  Sterling calls the shots and Baylor goes to Secaucus, New Jersey each spring.  I don’t mean to understate Baylor’s decision making authority but its clear that the Clippers, for better of for worse, are a Sterling creation.

 

And mostly it’s been for worse.  Since the 1986-87 season (Baylor’s first year) the Clipps have been over .500 once (1991-92)  and even that was a so so 45-37 record.  They have made the playoffs only three times in these 18 years and won four total playoff games.  But there is a rub to this failure.  Many are quick to point out that Sterling, having made his money buying up depressed real estate and selling it for large profits, employs the same risk averse strategies in putting together Clipper teams.  Indeed agent Mark Terimini said in a Los Angeles Magazine article that “[w]hen you’re dealing with the Clippers from a contractual standpoint, you’re dealing with a mind-set that’s not aggressive to paying assets on the talent side, their style has been basically to wait for players to come to them and sign them on their terms, if at all possible.”

 

So what is the worth of a quasi-GM report in this case?  Well, not much.  But by looking at the Clipps’ moves over Baylor’s 18-year tenure, we can at least address the much-debated question of whether Sterling could have or should have better balanced his conservative fiscal bend with the desire to put the best possible team on the court.

 

Coaches

 

The Clippers’ futility is best evidenced by seeing the huge numbers of coaches they have employed since 1986 and the fact that most of them are retreads.  Check out their year-by-year coaches:

 

Year            Coach            W-L

1986-87    Don Chaney    12-70

1987-88    Gene Shue      17-65

1988-89    Gene Shue      10-28

                 Don Casey      11-33

1989-90   Don Casey       30-52

1990-91   Mike Schuler  31-51

1991-92   Mike Schuler  22-25
Larry Brown    23-12*

1992-93   Larry Brown    41-41*

1993-94   Bob Weiss       27-55

1994-95   Bill Fitch          17-65

1995-96   Bill Fitch          29-53

1996-97   Bill Fitch          36-46*

1997-98   Bill Fitch          17-65

1998-99   Chris Ford         9-41

1999-00   Chris Ford       11-34

                Jim Todd           4-33

2000-01   Alvin Gentry   31-51

2001-02   Alvin Gentry   39-43

2002-03   Alvin Gentry   19-39

             Dennis Johnson   8-16

2003-04 Mike Dunleavy 28-54

 

*Denotes playoff appearance

 

Twelve coaches in 18 years.  This is not great continuity.  Of course with the notable exceptions of Larry Brown (who blew town when he saw the team was all leaving as free agents) and Bill Fitch, there are no big names who coached the Clipps and in fact there are a couple of awful names in here too.  Don Casey was not well prepared (remember his time with the Nets too?) and Bob Weiss admitted to mailing in his time with the Clipps.

 

Fitch’s tenure was a bit stormy as he inherited a bare cupboard (Ron Harper, Mark Jackson, and Danny Manning all left town).  In fact, Fitch for his first two games of his Clipper career played the Blazers in Japan and were wiped out both times.  After the two blow outs, Fitch akready joked about leaving his team in Japan.  But Fitch built a decent team eventually (which fell apart when Loy Vaught had career-destroying back problems).

 

In the end when Fitch was fired, Sterling refused to pay Fitch for money due under the contract and they even ended up litigating.  Fitch’s attorney on Sterling: “Donald Sterling just can’t help himself. He is known throughout the basketball community as being extremely reluctant to part with his money. This situation is no different. Sterling just can’t stand paying Fitch for not coaching. He, therefore, sued Fitch, hoping that he would just roll over. Let me assure you, Fitch will not roll over.”  Fitch’s suit is still pending.

In order for a team like the Clipps to be successful, they really need to pay for a coach who will stick around a while.  Other teams that try to keep payroll down, Utah most notably, have kept stability by keeping a coach around with a large stature.  Indeed, going through a rung of coaches combined with constant personnel changes creates instability.  Obviously no coach could make the playoffs with some of the ugly Clipper teams but clearly the team can’t build to something meaningful until the team has a coach that feels like the voice of the franchise.  The good news is that Dunleavy is a good coach.  If he chooses to stay here long enough, the Clipps at least might finally have fighting chance of building a good team.

 

The Draft

 

The Draft.  If you’re a bad team, you really need to hit on some picks to break the cycle of losing.  Well, the Elgin Baylor Clipps certainly have had there fair share of picks.  It should also be noted that drafting seems to be the one area where Sterling has given Baylor and company some autonomy to make picks–mainly because draft picks aren’t usually expensive.  Of course there are some exceptions to this rule.  Remember, when Sterling decided to trade the pick that was Antonio McDyess because he looked like he might be expensive?  In any event, drafting has been Baylor’s main duty.  That and sitting in on the Drat Lottery.  Here’s Baylor’s first round drafting record:

 

Year        Pick

1986      None

1987      Reggie Williams (4th Pick)

              Joe Wolf (14th Pick)

              Ken Norman (19th Pick)

1988      Danny Manning (1st Pick)

              Charles Smith (3rd Pick)

              Gary Grant (15th Pick)

1989      Danny Ferry (2nd Pick)

1990      Bo Kimble (8th Pick)

              Loy Vaught (13th Pick)

1991      LeRon Ellis (22nd Pick)

1992      Randy Woods (16th Pick)

              Elmore Spencer (25th Pick)

1993      Terry Dehere (13th Pick)

1994      Lamond Muuray (7th Pick)

              Eric Piatkowski (15th Pick)

1995      Brent Barry (15th Pick)

1996      Lorenzen Wright (7th Pick)

1997      Maurice Taylor (14th Pick)

1998      Michael Olowokandi (1st Pick)

              Brian Skinner (22nd Pick)

1999      Lamar Odom (4th Pick)

2000      Darius Miles (3rd Pick)

              Keyon Dooling (10th Pick)

              Quentin Richardson (18th Pick)

2001      none (traded Tyson Chandler for Elton Brand)

2002      Chris Wilcox (8th Pick)

              Melvin Ely (12th Pick)

2003      Chris Kaman (6th Pick)

 

The trend in Clipper drafting is pretty clear.  They’ve been relatively successful with their mid-first rounders (Barry, Norman, Grant) but they’ve been absolutely killed with their top picks.  Research has shown that top three picks are where most of the NBA stars are found (and to a lesser extent in the top five).  When you get picks in that range, you must convert on some of them.  Sometimes due to bad luck and sometimes do to bad choices, the Clippers have not done well with their top five picks:

 

– In 1987, they took mediocre shooter Reggie Williams with Hall of Fame talent like Kevin Johnson, Scottie Pippen, and Reggie Miller on the board.  Put this pick in the bad choice category.

-In 1988, the Clipps had the consensus first pick in Danny Manning.  Manning played well as a Clipp but due to knee injuries wasn’t quite the Magic Johnson clone we all thought he’d be.  The Clipps didn’t miss a real Hall of Famer for Manning (arguably Mitch Richmond and Rik Smits) but that Manning didn’t develop as much as he might’ve was some bad luck.   (They also got Charles Smith for Hersey Hawkins which was a fair trade of top draft picks).

-In 1989, the Clipps took bust of busts Danny Ferry second overall.  The Clipps did parlay Ferry into solid guard Ron Harper but a second pick usually yields more value.  This was a weak draft and the Clipps only missed out on Sean Elliott and Glen Rice (good but not great players).

-As we mentioned above, in 1995, the Clipps traded the second pick (Antonio McDyess) for Brent Barry, Rodney Rogers, and Brian Williams (aka Bison Dele).  This was a decent package but McDyess was an All Star talent.  In addition, the Clipps could’ve had Rasheed Wallace (who admittedly could’ve been a problem in this environment) and Hall of Famer Kevin Garnett.  Bad drafting here.

-In 1998, the Clipps again had the first pick.  This time the Clipps shocked everyone by taking project Michael Olowokandi instead of some serious talents like Vince Carter, Paul Pierce, Mike Bibby, and Dirk Nowtizki.  Bad drafting again.

-In 2000, the Clipps took Darius Miles third overall.  Miles wasn’t that type of talent but that draft was so shallow that he was probably the right pick at that time.

-In 2001, the Clipps finally got an All Star with the top pick by trading the second pick (Tyson Chandler) for vet Elton Brand.

 

Seven top five picks over 18 years and the Clipps really blew three or four of them (if you count the Ferry deal).  Had bad luck with Manning’s injuries and the weak talent pool in 2000 and hit it once with Brand.  In all, you have to say Baylor and company have not drafted well.  The Clipps will have the second pick again this year, in what appears to another shallow draft.  In order to really bust out of its rut, the Clipps and Baylor really need to find another star in the draft.

 

Transactions: Trades/Signings

 

One our first articles examined Sterling’s personnel moves at length.  In a nut shell, we have seen that Sterling’s modus operandi is to not pay free agents.  He has a number of young players with potential seeking big deals and with few notable exceptions, Sterling has let the players walk.  As frustrating as that strategy my be to Clippers fans, Sterling has been right in almost all his free agent decisions.  The group of free agents have almost all sucked or, at the very least been overpaid, after leaving L.A..  Here’s the group:

 

Danny Manning: went to Suns in 1994-95 and played well until blowing out his knees in the middle of 1994-95

Ron Harper: in 1994-95 went to the Bulls and was an overpaid role player for five years

Loy Vaught: went to Pistons in 1998-99 and promptly destroyed his back, ending his career

Lamond Murray: went to Cleveland in 1999-00, played solid but his large contract has made him a pariah in Toronto

Brent Barry: traded away because they didn’t want to pay him.  Ended up playing well for Seattle with a fair contract too

Rodney Rogers: signed with the Suns in 1999-00 and was up-and-down, frustrating the Suns and now the Nets

Maurice Taylor: Signed with the Rockets to a ridiculously bad contract in 2000-01, he has been injured and ineffective 

Lorenzen Wright: Signed with Atlanta in 1999-00.  Has been a decent big man since.

Elton Brand: re-signed by Clipps in 2003-04 and has been great

Corey Maggette: re-signed by the Clipps in 2003-04, has been very good

Lamar Odom: Clipps declined to match his offer by Heat in 2003-04, he has played well but remains a risk

Michael Olowokandi: let him sign with Minnesota in 2003-04, where he has been an anchor—in a bad way

 

Sterling’s risk averse strategy clearly worked with free agents.  A cynic might note that the Clipps solid record in not overpaying free agents is partly a result of their failure to find many good players to begin with.  But the bottom line is that Sterling manages his salary cap well.

 

In terms of trades, the Clipps have made remarkably few big trades over Baylor’s tenure.  The notable deals have been mixed: they traded the pick that could’ve been McDyess/Rasheed/Garnett for filler but they also counterbalanced that (almost) by nabbing Brand.  Despite their relatively few major trades over this span, it should be noted that the Clipps have been rumored to be involved in some other big trades.  Sam Smith in the Jordan Rules reported that the Bulls flirted actually flirted with trading Michael Jordan for the Clipps young talent in the late 1980s (Charles Smith, Danny Manning, Ron Harper, and Gary Grant).  In addition, they Clipps pushed hard going after Pippen in 1994-95 when it appeared that Pippen wanted out of Chicago.  Ultimately, Pippen refused to report to the Clipp, quashing any deal.  Overall, however, the Clipps transactions center around the draft and usually letting free agents go.

 

Verdict

 

So, is the Sterling Way worthwhile?  From a profit perspective, it seems pretty good.  Truly, Sterling made a good investment.  In fact, Forbes magazine reported that the Clipps made a $16 million profit in 2003, twice the average franchise profit for that year.  Further, Sterling bought the Clipps for $12 million in 1981 and the franchise is now worth over $200 million.

 

Yeah, Sterling runs his business well from a profit stadnpoint but all this just begs the question whether he could balance the business end with the need to compete.  Insight into Sterling’s managing style was provided by a deposition transcript of Sterling published Houston Chronicle.  This transcript was taken by Fitch’s lawyer in the aforementioned breach of contract action:

— Do you play a role in the final decision to sign a player, re-sign a player, draft a player, not sign a player, anything like that?

Sterling — No.

Q — You don’t play any role in that?

Sterling — No.

Q — Let’s say signing a player.

Sterling — The basketball people do that.

Q — OK. And the basketball people being?

Sterling — Well, there is a personnel director. There is the general manager. There’s — I don’t even know. There’s some other people in that department.

Q — OK. Do you have any input whatsoever in the decision making, or is it just, they just let you know what they’re doing.

Sterling — They let me know what they are doing … I really don’t have the experience.

Q — How about [Clipper coach during 1993-94 season] Bob Weiss? Have you ever known him to lie?

Sterling — I don’t know who he is. [Weiss also sued Sterling for withholding salary after Weiss was fired].

So, Sterling is clearly a cagey guy.  You certainly can’t fault him for running his business well from a profit perspective.  But its clear from reviewing some of the Clipper moves that they are not run at an optimal balance.  There is a possibility to compete here.  Whether Sterling ever seizes is it doubtful.  There have been some rumors that Kobe Bryant could be coming Clipper Way.  I personally don’t ever seen Sterling taking that kind of financial risk for the mere opportunity to win a few more games.  That’s just not the way he is programmed.

Re-Tracing Yinka

I was surprised to read this weekend that former Net and former lottery pick bust, Yinka Dare died of a heart attack at age 32.  The heart attack was apparently due to an arrhythmia that Dare developed in college.  I’m one of the few people who can say that I, as a Nets fan, saw Dare play as a pro on any sort of consistent basis. 

Dare is somewhat of an emblem of the futility of the pre-Jason Kidd Nets.  Dare left George Washington after his sophomore year against the better advice of his coach Mike Jarvis, scouts, and basically the whole world.  The thought was that he needed more time to develop as a player.  In hindsight, the nay sayers were wrong.  Dare didn’t need time to develop, he just wasn’t a good basketball player.  He wasn’t going to develop, he was what he was, which was a poor NBA player, with no skills.  They nay sayers were also wrong about Dare’s decision to leave college early.  He was miraculously drafted by the New Jersey Nets with the fourteenth pick overall (ahead of Eric Piatkowski, Aaron McKie, Wesley Person, and Charlie Ward).

So, Yinka got a big contract (remember there was no rookie wage scale back then).  Back in 1994, the Nets were coming off a semi-successful run with Kenny Anderson and Derrick Coleman blossoming.  All they needed was a shooting guard and a center to balance it out.  The Nets could have taken Person for the shooter but instead gambled on Dare.  This was not a great move.  Dare NBA career was as bad as can be:

In his first year, 1994-95, Dare played in one game for three minutes.  He threw up one shot an air ball, and then had season ending knee surgery.  Dare came back in 1995-96 and the Nets were determined to try to squeeze some value out of their draft pick.  Coach Butch Beard tried to start Dare but he lacked skills on both ends of the court.  In 58 games and 626 minutes, Dare had zero assists, compared to 72 turnovers.  This was such an oddball stat, writers speculated that Dare probably should’ve been able to at least get an assist by accident.  But he couldn’t. 

The worse thing that happenedto Dare, however, was the mid-season trade of Coleman for Shawn Bradley.  Dare lost his starting job to Bradley and became the bench ornament that he was meant to be.  At least in 1996-97, Dare was able to rack up three assists (in 41 games).  Because he had a long term deal, the Nets had to bring back Dare in 1997-98.  Dare played ten games and 60 minutes until he was traded to Orlando as part of a package for Rony Seikaly at the trade deadline.  But Dare was traded as a salary slot and not as a player that Orlando wanted so they immediately cut him and Dare’s  NBA career was over.  He played in 110 career games and 1,002 minutes and ended up with a career total offour assists(!) and 96 turnovers.

So, what happened to Yinka after his being cut?  Well, in the summer of 1998, Dare went to Greece to play with his native Nigeria in the World Championships.  Dare plated three games averaging 8 ppg and 7 rpg on 29% shooting.  After the World Championships, Dare’s career becomes a little hazy.  He bounced around the CBA and the USBL.  In 1999-00, Dare had a brief stint with Fort Wayne of the CBA before being released.  He had the similar appearances with Idaho in 2000-01 and Saskatchewan in 2001-02.  I could find no available stats for those cameos.  Yinka also had a tryout with the NBDL in the last year.  Dare’s last recorded professional appearance was in the USBL in the summer of 2003, playing briefly for Darryl Dawkins and the Pennsylvania Bull Dawgs, who released Dare after five games.  He apparently was still looking to play after that.  Last Saturday, Dare had just finished working out in his home in Northern New Jersey when he died of a heart attack. 

YearLeagueTeamGamesPPGRPGAPGFG%
1994-95NBAN.J.10100
1995-96NBAN.J.582.83.100.438
1996-97NBAN.J.411.42.10.10.352
1997-98NBAN.J.101.21.70.10.222
1997-98Intl. Comp.Nigeria37.18.11.70.294
1999-00CBAFt. Wayne  N/A  
2000-01CBAIdaho  N/A  
2001-02CBASask.  N/A  
2002-03USBLPa.51.26.10.30.143

Dare was never a good player and he was never meant to be either.  He became something of a joke in New Jersey, a testament to Jersey’s bad choices during their lean years.  But he the Nets because he was big and strong.   You would’ve thought if Nets could’ve done a bit more due diligence on Dare it would’ve have been apparent that he couldn’t play in the CBA, let alone the NBA.  Still, their loss was Dare’s gain.  He squeezed four years and a nice contract out of the Nets.  In the end, he had the last laugh.  It would have been nice if had gotten the chance to laugh for a bit longer. 

Gary Payton’s Place

Last Friday, Gary Payton returned to Seattle.  Payton is in a pretty good place right now, as the point guard for the best team in the NBA.  Still, there still seems to be some bad blood between Payton and management.  Last week Frank Hughes wrote a column on ESPN.com that called for Seattle to retire Payton’s jersey despite the bad blood but also accused Payton of fomenting some bad vibes in Seattle.  But before we tackle the issues raised by Hughes head on, it would be instructive to review Payton’s career in some detail to provide a background to the larger questions about his place in team history.

The Early Years: Payton Develops Slowly

Payton spent four years at Oregon State steadily developing from solid player to star by his senior year.   Even at that young age, Payton had earned a rep as a great defender and as a loud talker, both of which would be his trademarks later.

Seattle took Payton with the second pick in the 1990 draft.  Payton did not become an instant star in Seattle.  Instead, he steadily developed from backup to starter to good player to star.  The process actually took five years.  Check Payton’s first five years:

 

Year        PPG    FG%    APG  

1990-91    7.2    .450        6.4       

1991-92    9.4    .451        6.2        

1992-93  13.5    .494        4.9       

1993-94  16.5    .504        6.0        

1994-95  20.6    .509        7.1

 

Since 1994-95, Payton has not averaged less than 19.2 ppg or 7.1 apg.  That’s nine years in Seattle at an All Star level.  Of course, he will break that streak this year but he’s on a team so filled with stars that statistical drop off is unavoidable and not an indicator of lost ability.

Seattle’s Peak: 1992-98

Payton’s peak neatly coincided exactly with Seattle’s peak as a franchise.  From 1992-93 to 1997-98, the Sonics were a major player in the West and averaged 59.5 wins per season.  The Sonics of that era were anchored by two developing talents in Payton and Shawn Kemp.  The team seemed to grow with them but the growth came in spurts, followed by some regression.  Kemp was an All Star on the excellent 1993-94 team that won 63 games but was upset by Denver in the first round.  Payton was still not quite a star yet.

The actual apex of the Kemp-Payton Era came in 1995-96 when they won 64 games and went to the NBA Finals.  Payton and Kemp were both about at their career bests and the addition of Hersey Hawkins fit the team perfectly.  The Sonics ran into the Bulls 72-win buzz saw in the Finals but it was as great a season as Seattle has ever had.

Gary Payton, Tough Teammate

Payton has had his moments where he wore thin on coaches and teammates .  Even as a rookie part-time player, he was always talking trash and yelling.  You need look no further than the Sam Smith’s classic “Jordan Rules” description of Payton:  “The Bulls had played Seattle three times during the exhibition season, winning two.  In the one loss, brash SuperSonics rookie guard Gary Payton had played well, and told USA Today‘s Peter Vecsey that he could defend anyone, including [Michael] Jordan.  Later that night the two met by chance at a Seattle nightclub and Payton began to taunt Jordan: ‘I’ve got my million and I’m buying my Ferraris and Testarossas, too.’…[Later, when the Bulls and Sonics met in the regular season for the first time] Jordan [told teammates in] the locker room [that] he promised, ‘I’m going to show that little sucker.’  The first time Payton had the ball, Jordan stole it, drove for a lay-up, and was fouled.  The next time Payton had the ball, Jordan stole it again and drove all the way down court and slammed for a 6-0 Bulls lead.  The third time Payton had the ball, Jordan destroyed his dribble…It would be an easy Bulls win, 116-95, as Jordan had 33 points and 7 steals before the end of the third quarter.”

Despite the fact that he developed slowly, Payton also told the media early in his career that point guards like he and Magic Johnson come around once a decade, which confounded the media a little bit.  GP also butted heads with coaches most of his career, in particular Paul Westphal, for whom Payton seemed to have little respect.  Payton also had famous incidents where he (1) berated Detlef Schrempf for not shooting and costing him assists, (2) got in a full-scale brawl with teammate Vernon Maxwell, resulting in the two trying to assault each other with blunt objects (chairs and free weights) and injuring teammates Chuck Person and Horace Grant when they tried to break up the fight, and (3) was suspended for screaming at Ruben Patterson on the bench during a game.

But despite all his woofing, Payton was a hell of a player and he won regularly.  He did develop into the player he thought he was and at his absolute peak from 1995-97, there was no better point guard (he thoroughly outplayed John Stockton in the 1995-96 playoffs and did a credible job on Jordan in the Finals).  Still, you can’t separate Payton the character from the player and for that reason alone, there is ample evidence for a GM to prefer Jason Kidd or Steve Nash (Isiah is another story in that he had such a short career and wasn’t exactly loved by teammates either).  If I had to choose one of this bunch as my point guard to lead my team for  15 years, Payton would be my top choice–provided that I had a strong enough coach to keep him somewhat in check.

1995-96 Sonics v. 1978-79 Sonics

I know some fans will point out that the 1978-79 Sonics were better by the virtue of that fact that they won it all but don’t believe.  The 1995-96 mode was superior.  Look at the numbers:

 

                            1995-96    1979-80

W-L Record         64-18        52-30

Point Differential   +7.8        +2.7

 

The Sonics of 1995-96 were much more impressive in record and point differential.  But the record is probably even better than it looks.  The 1978-79 season had a bit of parity, with no team winning more than 54 games.  In contrast, the 1995-96 Sonics had to contend with the 72-win Bulls, the 60-win Magic (of Shaq and Penny vintage), and a 59-win Spur team.  I know that there are arguments that parity is an indicator of a higher degree of competitiveness but I don’t buy it.  The late 1970s are well known as one of the low points in talent concentration for the NBA.  Some of the stars of the 1970s were aging and the Magic and Larry Bird were a year away.

In fact, the Sonics of the early 1980s quickly fell out of competition after the Magic Johnson Lakers came and dominated the West.  The Sonics fall from grace in the early 1980s was partly due to some bad moves (trading Dennis Johnson for Paul Westphal; trying to win with a burnt out David Thompson) but their talent and the talent of the league around them seemed inferior to the 1995-96 versions.  Let’s compare key players from the two teams:

 

                        1978-79                                                         1995-96

PG:    Dennis Johnson (19.0 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 4.1 apg)    Gary Payton (19.3 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 7.5 apg)

SG:    Gus Williams (22.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.8 apg)        Hersey Hawkins (15.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.7 apg)

SF:     John Johnson (11.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 5.2 apg)       Detlef Schrempf (17.1 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.4 apg)

PF:     Lonnie Shelton (13.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.9 apg)     Shawn Kemp (19.6 ppg, 11.4 rpg, 2.2 apg)

C:       Jack Sikma (14.3 ppg, 11.1 rpg, 3.4 apg)        Sam Perkins (11.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.5 apg)

 

The numbers make the teams look pretty close but the earlier team has no one who could come close to matching up with Kemp on the inside.  Further, Schrempf is far superior to John Johnson.  As great as DJ was, Payton has always been a better player too.  Positional comparisons are a very imprecise way of determining the better overall team but Kemp and Payton are the two best players of these ten and that means something about quality of the team.  So no disrespect to the underappreciated 1978-79 Sonics but the equally underappreciated 1995-96 team was the better squad.

The Payton-Kemp Run Reconsidered

As great as the 1995-96 Sonics were, one can’t help but feel, at first glance, that they did not accomplish all they should have.  They were quite good most of the time but with some painful playoff losses, most notably the series they blew to the eight seed Nuggets in 1994.  The next year, the Sonics also lost in the first round.  That loss was more explainable, the Sonics lost to a solid Laker team while Payton played with a broken wrist (he still averaged 18 ppg and 5 apg for the series).  So those two tough losses in back-to-back years hurt. Looking at the Payton-Kemp run as a whole, you won’t see so much underachievement outside the admittedly ugly Nugget loss:

 

1992-93    Sonics loss to the one seeded Suns 4-2 in the Western Conference Finals

1993-94    Sonics are one seed but lose to the eight seed Nuggets in the first round

1994-95    Four seed Sonics lose 3-1 to five seed Lakers

1995-96    Sonics win 64 games, lose to the 72-win Bulls 4-2 in the NBA Finals

1996-97    57-win Sonics lose to 57-win Rockets 4-3 in the second round

1997-98    Sonics win 61 games but lose 4-1 to the 61-win Lakers in the second round

 

Outside of 1993-94 and 1994-95, the Sonics did not lose to an inferior playoff team.  The loss to the Rockets was hard fought and came down to the wire.  Despite their equal records, the 1997-98 Sonics were not nearly equal to the Shaq-led Lakers.  Still, the 1993-94 loss to the Nuggets casts a pall over the Payton-Kemp Era.  The team was the best in the West that year and their only real competition was the eventual champion Rockets, whom the Sonics matched up very well with (they upset the Rockets in the 1992-93 playoffs and swept them in 1995-96).  With Jordan gone that year, the Sonics best chance at winning was wasted because they couldn’t shoot over Dikembe Mutombo and they couldn’t stop Robert Pack and Laphonso Ellis.  I can’t say that completely ruined the George Karl years but that loss has to stick in the craw of Sonic fans.

The End of the Payton-Kemp Run

The fun started to end in the summer of 1996.  Right after losing to the Bulls in the Finals, the Sonics sought to bolster their front line by signing shot blocking prospect Jim McIlvaine to a big contract, bigger even then Kemp’s.  This enraged Kemp who was a disruption the whole next year.  Kemp played well but it was clear that he wanted to go.  To compound the problem, Kemp had already renegotiated his contract a few years earlier and was thus prohibited by the CBA from redoing it again.  So, Kemp was traded for Vin Baker.  Baker was good for one year (19.2 ppg 8.0 rpg) but then fell off after that. Even at his 1997-98 level, Baker wasn’t a good as Kemp and, when Baker declined quickly, the Sonics were a fringe playoff team and not much else.  (It is tough to condemn trading Kemp because he had his own problems with his weight and drugs, see below).

Aftermath of the Payton-Kemp Era: The Trade

The Sonics have not won a playoff series since 1997-98.  Instead, the team has floundered around .500 with a perimeter-oriented offense.  Payton gave them five All-Star years over that time but, by mid-2003, the Sonics were faced with the dilemma of re-signing Payton who is/was a franchise icon.  The problems were (a) Payton was not young and the team wasn’t that good so they didn’t really need him for a playoff impact and (b) Payton would not come cheap.  Payton also had no interest in a giving a franchise discount to the Sonics.  Rather, Payton wanted one of those huge franchise lifetime award contracts like the one an older Patrick Ewing got from the Knicks in the summer of 1996.

The issue was further complicated by Payton’s claim that owner Howard Schultz orally promised him that they would give him a contract extension. On top of that, Payton piqued management by skipping some of the 2002-03 training camp and just generally complaining about not getting an extension.  Ownership considered the promise to extend to be a completely fabricated story.  Since the team was rebuilding and Payton was bitching, it was an easy decision to trade Payton.

Payton did receive some criticism for his outbursts (though management took some hits too).  In reality this was just high stakes jousting for negotiating positoin.  Payton knew that Sonics didn’t really need him talent-wise because the team wasn’t good enough to need an aging but still very good point.  He hoped his complaining would either drum up enough sympathy from fans to force an extension or get him traded to a team that would be willing and able (as per the Larry Bird exception) to exceed the salary cap to re-sign him.  That didn’t happen.  Payton went to the Bucks a team that didn’t really want him (they made the trade to clear some long term deals) and that he didn’t want to play for either.  Bummer.  So, all that is left from last season is the acrimony between Payton and management.  That is why there has been speculation as to whether Payton’s number will be retired.

Does Payton Deserve to Have His Jersey Retired in Seattle?

Yes, he is the best player in Sonic history.  Only, Shawn Kemp is in Payton’s ball park.  By the time Payton’s career is over, which will be likely be at least another five years or so, most of the clashes of 2002-03 will have faded and all that will be remembered was Payton’s great 14 years.

The All-Sonic Team

Incidentally, my All Time Sonic is thus:

PG: Gary Payton

SG: Dale Ellis (Dennis Johnson didn’t play long enough as a Sonic and Gus Williams was close too)

SF:  Detlef Schrempf (Tom Chambers is close, as is Xavier McDaniel)

PF: Shawn Kemp (Spencer Haywood was close)

C:   Jack Sikma

In Sum

Payton is probably the best player in Sonic history and is neck-and-neck with John Stockton for best point guard of the 1990s.  The hullabaloo of his exit will be forgotten and all parties, including management and Payton, will consider this water under the bridge.  Time has its way of fixing this type of stuff..

School’s Out: A Legal Analysis of High Schoolers and the NBA Draft

(The following was an analysis of high schoolers entering the NBA draft and examination of whether a rule could be imposed on this subject that would comport with Antitrust law and ethical/public policy considerations.  This study was written in early 2000 and much has changed in this field.  LeBron James popped up and foreign players have also complicated the analysis.  Nevertheless, neither of these issues alter the conclusions of this study in anyway.

Sitting and waiting for that important phone call is one of life’s unpleasant moments.  There is a sense of powerlessness.  Your fate is entirely dependent on the decisions of another.  Whether the call is for a job interview or for the result of a medical test, when waiting for the call, the silence of the phone is deafening.  The minutes feel like hours and the hours feel like days.  On the night of June 26, 1996, Taj (Red) McDavid sat by the phone waiting for just such a phone call. 

The Admiral FAQ

Let’s talk about the last of the the trinity of great centers of the of 1990s who recently retired, David Robinson.  It seems like there was much fewer memorable moments or controversies with Robinson than there were with Hakeem or Ewing.  Even in retirement, Robinson seemed to sneak into the sunset.  Rehashing Robinson’s career better separate the perceptions and realities of him as a player.