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Welcome to Loserville, Population New Jersey

Going into the season, the Nets were expected to be a poor team.  They traded away Vince Carter for Courtney Lee and made no real additions.  We expected a bad team but 0-13 is even worse than was reasonably be expected.  The Nets are probably not quite as bad as they have looked so far.  They have had a rash of injuries (Devin Harris, Courtney Lee, Yi Jianlian, Jarvis Hayes), though only Devin Harris was a really significant loss, the cumulative loss is significant.  The Nets have been above average defensively (12th) but are, by far, the worst offensive team in the NBA.  Outside of Chris Douglas-Roberts and Brook Lopez, the offense has been awful.  Most notably, Rafer Alston has really struggled the most.  In 35 mpg, Alston has 10.2 ppg and shot .333% from the field and has coughed up 3.0 topg versus 4.8 apg, which all adds up to an awful 7.6 PER.  Once Harris gets his legs back, the chances are that the Nets have to improve off this bad start enough to be just a regular bad team that we expected. 

Though the Nets should improve, they have a serious shot of breaking the 1988-89 Heat for the worst  losing streak to start a season (the old expansion Heat were 0-17 before beating the Los Angeles Clippers).  The Nets have the misfortune of hitting a West Coast trip just as the losing streak has hit unlucky 13.  The next four games will be in Denver, Portland, Sacramento and Los Angeles (against the Lakers), putting the Nets at 0-17 with a game against Dallas in New Jersey with the record on the line.  It would seem that the only game the Nets have any shot of winning to stop breaking the record is the game in Sacramento this Friday.  The Kings have been surprsingly strong so far (5-7 overall, 4-2 at home) and the Nets shot of winning even there is not great.  So, the Nets are staring at a record breakingly bad start.  This awful season will also cost Lawrence Frank his job, though it’s hard to blame him too much as the team is defending hard (as a practical matter the new ownership probably wants its own coach no matter what Jersey does this season). 

Transactions: 9/23-11/17

Charlotte Bobcats 

11/16    Traded Raja Bell and Valdimir Radmanovic to Golden State for Stephen Jackson and Acie Law 

As dysfunctional as the Warriors may seem, the Bobcats have a good bit of weird in their moves too.  In this case, the Bobcats clearly win the talent exchange and there is a rational basis for the trade but something still seems odd here.  Jackson is pretty good all around player and better than Bell in most areas (except defensively).  In exchange for getting the better player, Charlotte has agreed to assume Jackson’s contract extension ($28 million over the next three seasons after 2009-10) while Bell is a free agent after the season and Radmanovic only has a player option for $6.8 million in 2010-11 (which he is sure to exercise).  Moreover, the Bobcats definitely need scoring and, as a hapless expansion team, they have more reason than most teams to pay a little more cash to make a push for the eight seed if only to show the fan base some tangible improvement.

AI and Going Out on Your Own Terms

One of the side stories of the new season is dispute brewing between the Grizzlies and Allen Iverson.  Iverson, has left the team for personal reasons but there are reports circulating that he has left because he was unhappy to be coming off the bench and that he may not be coming back. 

It’s a somewhat bizarre scenario.  As a practical matter, AI’s leaving the Grizz is much ado about nothing.  The Grizz are a bad team with or without him.  But Iverson’s personality and his career accomplishments definitely makes us notice him a bit more than an average veteran at the end of his career. 

Quick Thoughts

1.    Cleveland Struggles:   We’re almost two weeks into another NBA season and there is a distinct lack of serious surprises.  The one occurrence that most people are noticing is Cleveland’s sluggish start out of the gate.  After winning 66 games last year, the Cavs are 4-3, though LeBron James has been as good as ever.  Is it too early to speculate as to why Cleveland is struggling?  Frankly, yes.  John Hollinger took a look at the issue yesterday and agreed that it was premature but did posit that 2008-09 could’ve been an outlier for the Cavs, who have really been closer to a 50-win team previously.  In that same vein, he also noted that the team was struggling offensively this year, which was a similarity to the pre-2008-09 Cavs, who lacked secondary scoring options as well.   

My feelings is that it is way too early to count the Cavs out.  They will be a title contender this season.  While it is unlikely they win 66 games again, remember that both the 2006-07 and 2007-08 teams were serious playoff threats, going to the NBA Finals and taking the champ Celts seven games respectively.  Another factor to consider is that it is very hard for a team to improve on a 66-win season.  Last year, we reviewed the issue of how teams follow up on seasons after they won 64 games or more the year before.  We found that not a single team matched its win total from the previous season (though they all ended up being at least pretty good).  The point is that perfection (or close to perfection) is impossible.  It may seem to our memory that the past legends were always absolutely dominating the NBA.  Magic Johnson, Larry Bird, Michael Jordan, and Shaquille O’Neal were usually very good but their teams, even when contending, were not always transcendent.  History tells us that the Cavs should break 50 wins this season but some decline shouldn’t be taken too seriously. 

NBA Preview 2009-10: Pacific Division

We now reach the end of our seasonal preview and with the Pacific Division.  The Pacific is as clear cut a division as you’ll find.  The Lakers are a title contender and the cream of the crop and no real contenders after that.  Let’s take a look: 

1.    Los Angeles Lakers:    The Lakers are the favorites to come out of the West again this year, as they were last year.  The success here isn’t a mystery.  The team has few weaknesses (defending quick point guards is the only one that comes to mind) and this is a team that excels offensively and defensively.  Obviously, Kobe Bryant is the key to this team but Pau Gasol is also an indispensable piece too.  Assuming they are healthy, there is no reason the Lakers won’t make the Finals again.  The only major differences between this team and last year’s is the effective trade of Trevor Ariza for Ron Artest and the potential of having Andrew Bynum healthy for the whole season.