At this point I like the 2013 draft. There are a lot of promising players, which is a welcome development following two very dry drafts. That makes this year much more fun for us draft geeks. The problem is there isn’t any one player who looks like a sure fire star. While the drafts of 2010 and 2011 were historically weak, at least there was Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis. No such star has emerged as the class of the 2013 crop. There are enough good prospects out there, that I suspect a few will emerge and this won’t be a problem in April. It should be fun watching this group develop.
The 2013 class features what looks like a deep freshmen class, several promising sophs and some juniors and seniors off to good starts. It’s the freshmen and sophomores who are the players to watch though. Such players are the core of any good draft in this millennium. For that reason I’m placing those prospects at the top of the list for now, based on their upside. It is still early in the process and for that reason rather than doing an official numbered in order by prospectworthiness top 60, I’m starting by placing prospects in groups.
As I like to stress every year, most stats are inflated at this point in the season. With that in mind feel free to insert terms like: “so far”, “at this point in the season” and “until the rigorous conference schedule kills his numbers” at the end of every blurb. Because of this, these ratings are extremely fluid and will certainly change a lot when I do them again in a month.
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The raw statistics I start with when evaluating college prospects are skewed. The per game statistics that are the basis for handing out awards and a lot of the quickie analysis we see and hear in the media never tell…
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It’s another typical group of centers for the 2013 draft. At least that’s how I would describe the returning players. The freshmen could actually be something special. The reason is there are so many highly-rated centers in the 2012 recruiting class. Five of the top 8 players and 11 of the top 40 are listed as centers. That’s way out of the norm. The previous 5 classes had 5 centers total in the top 8 and never more than 7 in the top 40 in any one year. So the 2013 incoming freshmen center class comes in with depth and potential rarely seen. Recruiting classes can be fickle though. All the players are a long way from being complete and a lot of wrong things can happen on their way there. But the sheer number of highly-touted prospects makes it likely that there will be one or two freshmen centers who emerge as the top prospect(s) for the 2013 draft.
Since this piece is focusing on the returning centers, it won’t be as glowing. There are a couple of sophs, Alex Len and Amir Williams, who hold some promise. Other than that 2013 features a typically starless group of centers. Many of them are old for college players, but all have shown enough that they’re worth keeping an eye on. Some will improve enough in 2013 to get themselves into the first round discussion.
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