NBA Draft Update

After two of stronger, deeper drafts ever, the 2009 draft is going to be fairly normal. There are no can’t miss stars and the best player, Blake Griffin, is more of a hard worker than a great athlete. This is mainly due to a weak freshman class. The sophomores who stuck around from last years’ incredible class are by themselves a more impressive group than the ‘09 freshmen. That means the winners from the 2009 draft are going to be players who stayed in school for another year, because they’ll be making more money and will have the security of coming in as higher draft picks. The losers will be the teams with multiple picks in round one who will find the pickings pretty slim after the lottery. That’s Minnesota and Oklahoma City.

I listed 60 players in sort of a tiered system. It’s not really a mock draft, but how I would rank the players at this point in time everything else being equal. These rankings are based on current stats, the player’s history and their size/athleticism/potential. It’s mainly about the stats though. These rankings are also very fluid and will likely change quite a bit as the season gets into the tournaments. Don’t expect many, if any of these players to improve their stock, but there are some who will decline. This includes NCAA players only. I’ll bring the international players in on this later.

Quick Thoughts

1.    All-Star Stuff:    Nothing gets me less excited than the All-Star game and the surrounding All-Star picks and controversies.  As we’ve said before, we rarely catch more than a few moments of the whole weekend.  Still, we do feel compelled to give our take the usual controversies.  The most obvious problem with the rosters is the fact that Allen Iverson is starting.  AI has been a bit above-average this season and nothing more but his popularity, at this point, seems to transcend performance.  Jon Machora of the Detroit Free Press had an interesting interview with Jeff Van Gundy on the Iverson issue.  Van Gundy gave a response to the larger issue: “I mean the fans vote, so I think the bigger question is: Should the fans have the vote? And I think the answer to that question is absolutely not. I think All-Star selections mean too much to the players to leave it in the hands of just the fans.  I think the fans should have a part of the vote, but I think the players should have a vote, I think the coaches should have a vote, and I think the fan vote should be limited. It’s too easy to skew it by just stuffing ballots for people.”

The Alonzo Mourning FAQ

Usually when an inner circle Hall of Fame-type player retires, we take the opportunity to examine his career closely with one of our FAQs.  Well, Alonzo Mourning just recently retired and he’s not quite good enough to be inner circle material.  Still, Zo has both an interesting personal story and he was a very good player and we’re interesting enough to plunge forward to see what we can learn about him personally and as a player from a close examination of his career.

Transactions 12/16-1/19

Charlotte Bobcats 

1/16      Traded Matt Carroll and Ryan Hollins to Dallas for DeSagana Diop 

Taking this trade from a Larry Brown perspective, it makes some sense.  Brown loves defense and does not necessarily appreciate shooters who don’t defend like Carroll.  But look a bit closer and this makes no objective sense.  Yes, Diop can block shots and defend but he can do nothing else (.379 FG%, 4.5 pts/36 minutes) and his boards and blocks aren’t even that astounding.  In terms of actual need, the Bobcats are 9th in defensive efficiency and 27th in offensive efficiency.  A non-offense guy like Diop might not actually really fill a hole.

The Miles Saga

Despite the fact the we just saw the two best teams in the East play the other night, it seems that most everyone is more concerned with the curious situation of Darius Miles.  While you probably have heard about this issue, before we give your our take we’ll give you the quick rundown:

Quick Thoughts

1.    Atlanta Aeries:    Right around the January each season, we like take stock at the teams that came out of nowhere and examine how they are excelling and whether the improved play will continue.  Last year, we had quite a few teams go from .500 to contention and we ended up with three teams going from .500 to the 50-win plateau (Boston, New Orleans, and Orlando).  This year, a few teams are looking improved (Cleveland, Denver, Portland) but there is only one team, Atlanta, that has gone from also-ran to potential 50-game winner.  While the Hawks looked nice in the playoffs and had some nice young players, essentially they were 37-win team, and NBA history is littered with young eight seeds that looked respectable in the playoffs and fizzled out the following season (see e.g., 1993-94 Heat and Nuggets, 1996-97 Wizards, 1997-98 Nets, 2002-03 Suns).  Throw on top of the poor record thhe fact that the Hawks let Josh Childress walk and the other off-season turmoil (Josh Smith reluctantly returned to the fold as a restricted free agent) and there was reason to expect stagnation or regression.  Well, the Hawks have looked very good.  They are currently 22-11 and could be even better if they could actually beat the mediocre Nets (Atlanta is 0-3 so far against Jersey this year).  How has Atlanta improved?  Check out the team numbers from the past two seasons: