Ed Weiland

2015 NBA Draft: The Young SFs

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There are many reasons the 2015 draft will be one of the deepest in years. The bigs and the PGs are both deep. One of the most intriguing group of players is the young SFs. I already profiled Justise Winslow and Mario Hezonja in earlier pieces. Here I look at what I would say are the next tier of SFs, Stanley Johnson and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson of Arizona and Kelly Oubre of Kansas. All are young and talented, but have some work to do on their games. With the SFs I look at a lot of numbers, … [Read more...] about 2015 NBA Draft: The Young SFs

2015 NBA Draft: The Freshmen Centers

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The role of the center is in decline in today’s NBA. With analytics valuing the 3-pointer over back-to-the-basket offense the best teams are filling their center rotations with defensive-minded rim-protectors and stretch 5s whose range can pull the opponent’s rim protector away from the rim. At least that’s the conventional wisdom. It is probably correct. It is also possible there’s a shortage of elite centers. This table shows how the center position has changed in this decade. It shows the … [Read more...] about 2015 NBA Draft: The Freshmen Centers

2015 NBA Draft: Top 2 PGs Mudiay and Russell

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There are some excellent PG prospects in the 2015 draft. The best are a couple of 19 year-olds, one who played college ball and one who went overseas. Those are the two I’m going to look at here, D’Angelo Russell of Ohio State and Emmanuel Mudiay who played his post-prep ball in China. First a look at their pace adjusted numbers: PG Prospects 2PP 3PP P40 A40 S40 RSB40 A/TO Emmanuel Mudiay 514 342 19.4 6.4 1.7 8.5 1.8 D'Angelo … [Read more...] about 2015 NBA Draft: Top 2 PGs Mudiay and Russell

Are Porzingis and Hezonja Worthy Top 10 Draftees?

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Before I get to the top 2 foreign prospects I wanted to show some history of players who came to the NBA from a foreign league vs. players from American college and high schools over the past 14 drafts. That takes it back to the 1998 draft when Dirk Nowitzki became the first player to be drafted in the top 10 from a foreign league. The chart below shows the success percentage of American and foreign players drafted top 10 from the 14 drafts after from ’98 to ’11. I stopped at 2011, because we … [Read more...] about Are Porzingis and Hezonja Worthy Top 10 Draftees?

2015 NBA Draft: Justise Winslow

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I find Justise Winslow one of the most intriguing prospects available in the 2015 NBA draft. He started his freshman year slowly, eclipsed by not only a stellar crop of freshmen centers. As a perimeter player he was behind the likes of D’Angelo Russell and Stanley Johnson.  He was the 3rd most visible freshman on the Duke team, behind Okafor and Jones. His start was OK, but nothing really worth noting. Through the non-conference schedule the assessment would have been: Decent start. Let’s see … [Read more...] about 2015 NBA Draft: Justise Winslow

The NBA Draft Lottery and Luck

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Like life itself the NBA Draft Lottery is random, painful and wonderful. It will remain as such unless they adopt that stupid wheel. This piece looks at what teams have been lucky and/or unlucky in the lottery during its 30 years of existence. What I’m looking at is which teams have had the ball bounce their way the most during the lottery era and which teams just can’t catch a break. What the list below shows is how much each team moved up or down in the draft order during the 30 years of … [Read more...] about The NBA Draft Lottery and Luck

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